10.8.09

Bristol predictions.................

May be...

  • I bet Carl Edwards gets the pole, but loeses the lead after the first restart on lap 7 (debris caution). We get a long run after the lap 7 restart that encompasses two green flag pit stops by all drivers. The race stays green until a two car crash triggered by Greg Biffle on lap 342 spins Ryan Newman into the inside wall. This leaves just 3 cars on the lead lap, Kasey Kahne, Carl Edwards, and Kurt Busch. Jamie McMurry gets the free pass. Carnage ensues on the next restart as the back 3/4's of the feild piles into turn 3. A three wide situation between Jeff Gordon, Matt Kenseth, and Martin Truex jr (all 1 lap down running 7-9) doesn't work, and they leave a cloud of smoke for everyone to attempt to negotiate. The worst damage is to David Stremme, Matt Kenseth, Brian Vickers, Joey Logano, John Andretti, and Jimmie Johnson.Kyle Busch gets the free pass, and due to the crash, only 3 cars remain a lap down, Tony Stewart, Denny Hamlin, and Clint Bowyer. After a 28 minute red flag the race gets back underway at lap 351 and Kasey Kahne gets a solid start, Kyle Busch is on his bumper by another multi car crash on lap 365. This time Sterling Marlin was tapped from behind off turn four by Kevin Harvick. The wreck collected Robby Gordon, Sam Hornish Jr, and Casey Mears. Harvick and Scott Speed both get flat tires and slight damage. Denny Hamlin gets the free pass. By the restart on lap 378 all the leaders have pitted to avoid debris causing tire problams. Kasey Kahne choses the outside lane for the first time, and is able to hold off Kyle Busch. But by lap 415 Kyle is back on his inside, and makes it work by lap 417. He begins to check out. Denny Hamlin is up to 4th after passing McMurry and Kurt Busch, he is now in lapped traffic and can't see Carl Edwards who is in 3rd. Tony Stewart is now in lucky dog position in 7th, but Kyle is closing in on McMurry and Kurt who are raceing side by side. by lap 432 Kyle is boxed in behind McMurry and Kurt Busch batteling. Kasey Kahne closes back in on the 18. Busch bumps the 26 into the 2 as they exit turn 2. Kyle is able to stay ahead of Kasey Kahne, but Kahne is now only 4 car lengths back. Kurt Busch pits for a flat tire after contact with Jamie McMurry, who is now in lucky dog position in 5th. Hamlin gets around the 99 on lap 451 and Kyle has opened a lead of almost a full staightaway on Kasey Kahne. Hamlin is a half a lap behind. Now with no traffic Hamlin begins making consistent laps, Kyle is trying to put the #14 a second lap down, and is having a hard time. on lap 454 Kyle pits for four tires and Denny pits on the backstretch of the same lap. Kahne pits next time by, but has contact with Marcos Ambrose in the pits, then has to stop as David Ragan pulls out right in front of him. After the cycle of stops, Kurt Busch is back on the lead lap, and has enough fuel to make it to the end, but Kyle is gaining on him again to put him back a lap down. Denny now sits just infront of Kahne on the track, being held up by Juan Montoya and Mark Martin, who are two laps down battleing for 10th. Once clear of Martin and Montoya, Hamlin pulls away from Kahne, and is now one straightaway behind teammate Busch with 35 laps to go. Clint Bowyer (running 8th) gets a flat tire, and limps around the top of the track until he can get down and bail to pit road. This ends his chase chances after his Michigan 28th place finish. No caution. With 20 laps to go, Stewart goes 2 laps down and Kurt Busch goes a lap down once again. But they both give Kyle more troble than Denny. With 9 laps to go, Denny catches Kyle just as they run up on Kasey Kahne who has gone tight after the pit road contact with the 47. Kahne pulls out of the way. As the two leaders run up on other cars, the lapped cars move out of the way. With 5 laps to go, Hamlin gets to the bottom of Busch. By 3 laps to go Hamlin is getting to his door in the corners. with two to go, Hamlin cuts busch off leaving turn 4, Busch pushes Hamlin into turn 1 to show his displeasure. On the final lap, Hamlin gaps him by a car length to win.

    1 - Denny Hamlin
    2 - Kyle Busch
    3 - Carl Edwards
    4 - Kurt Busch (-1)
    5 - Kasey Kahne (-1)
    6 - Jamie McMurry (-1)
    7 - Tony Stewart (-2)
    8 - Jeff Burton (-2)
    9 - Mark Martin (-3)
    10 - Juan Montoya (-3)

    After the crash, Kenseth falls out of the chase by 7 points as Kyle Busch slippes in. Denny Hamlin gets 4th in the points away from Kurt Busch. Newman now sits 12th, just 7 points ahead of Kenseth. the top 13 in points now have a 231 point gap over 14th place David Ruetimann, meaning it will be a battle between the top 13 for 12 spots. Clint Bowyers flat drops him to 21st place, 4 laps down after running 8th most of the night.

    Scott Speed's solid 17th place finish combined with John Andretti's 40th place finish puts Speed only 68 points out of the top 35.

    So I guess 4 cautions, 4 leaders, 6 lead changes. Hope you enjoyed that!
  • who qualifies on the pole?
    what predictions to you have for the race like cautions leaders and winner...all that
  • hard to say what is going to happen in 2 weeks.. but i for see about 10 cautions 6 of them caused by Robbie Gordon..
    i see Ambrose wining the race

    but lets get Michigan over with with Martin wining and Robbie Gordon causing at least 3 cautions
  • Little too early for Bristol, we just ran the Glen, and Michigan is this weekend. :)choice magazine aust
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